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Dec 2, 2012
12/12
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while everybody is watching boehner and obama duke it out, a flashing red warning sign emerging for the consumer. shares of yum brands taking a hit on the warning on the outlook for china. what does this mean for the other multinationals. let's get in the monday and find out. dan, this is much more than a single stock story because yum is looked at as a barometer for china growth. >> that's a great point. >> this year as mcdonald's was signaling that china was weakening, chipotle. this year domestically, we're starting to see sales trends weaken. yum was doing fantastically in both regions. yum gets it disproportionate from the sales. relative to the competitors in china. about 45%. and a lot of investors were wondering how these guys were bucking the trend for so long. to me this is a little curious. they just gave guidance on china sales on october 10th. to me they may have a bit of a credibility problem. the other one we were talking about is tiffany's. these are a tale of two cities. they have downgraded yesterday and that was also based on china. you are getting it on both sides of
while everybody is watching boehner and obama duke it out, a flashing red warning sign emerging for the consumer. shares of yum brands taking a hit on the warning on the outlook for china. what does this mean for the other multinationals. let's get in the monday and find out. dan, this is much more than a single stock story because yum is looked at as a barometer for china growth. >> that's a great point. >> this year as mcdonald's was signaling that china was weakening, chipotle....
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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and you see boehner coming out -- boehner, by the way, just walked past us and gave us a big smile just a few seconds before we came on the air. he's clearly not all that upset. he seems like he's in a pretty good mood here today. so boehner is saying no. i don't like that offer. now harry reid is coming out and say wk hey, wait a second. it's time for you guys to get serious. when harry reid says it's time to listen to the american people, what he's saying is, look at the poll numbers. this thing polls much better for us than it polls for you. you're getting clobbered here, republicans. pay attention. so that's the message that's going on. you're seeing a lot of horse trading. yeah, if you're a player in the market right now, it's got to feel like you're being held hostage to this horse trading in washington. that's the way they've done it here for a couple hundred years in this town. i think that's the way they'll continue doing it up to the edge of the deadline on the fiscal cliff. >> you get any sense as you talk to the folks making these comments that they even care what the stock
and you see boehner coming out -- boehner, by the way, just walked past us and gave us a big smile just a few seconds before we came on the air. he's clearly not all that upset. he seems like he's in a pretty good mood here today. so boehner is saying no. i don't like that offer. now harry reid is coming out and say wk hey, wait a second. it's time for you guys to get serious. when harry reid says it's time to listen to the american people, what he's saying is, look at the poll numbers. this...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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obama/boehner comments about a possible agreement. geithner with congressional leaders would set up any kind of good news for a euro to push through that 1.30 level. >> what are your levels? >> i like to go long. actually, i just bought euro literally in my hand held before i sat down at 1.29.70. you want to look for a push through that november triple top high over 1.30. we could target the 1.30, 1.40, the high from october. traditionally in the technical analysis world we have a triple top setting up. those do not hold. i like the trade up towards a test of that october high. >> i'm surprised you don't think the yen is a better trade at the moment. there's a lot of chatter everywhere else about it. >> it's a great point, simon. you know, the boj is doing everything they can to end their 13, 15-year deflationary cycle. my thought on that is you don't get hit by the train you see coming. i feel like the market is so focused on the short yen trade, i think it could work in the short term. you could pair a euro long like i'm talking abo
obama/boehner comments about a possible agreement. geithner with congressional leaders would set up any kind of good news for a euro to push through that 1.30 level. >> what are your levels? >> i like to go long. actually, i just bought euro literally in my hand held before i sat down at 1.29.70. you want to look for a push through that november triple top high over 1.30. we could target the 1.30, 1.40, the high from october. traditionally in the technical analysis world we have a...
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Nov 30, 2012
11/12
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representative boehner says we're almost nowhere on the talks. this is where it happened right here. have you noticed that we've gone essentially in where? this is a very, very small trading range that we are in. this is not statistically significant. senator mcconnell says the white house offer was almost comical? that's like insulting commentary back and forth to each other. senator mcconnell said there's nothing better going on privately. nothing going on privately? and the market didn't really react. you could see this is discouraging to see all this mud slinging but i'd go with what the market is saying. so far they still believe that number one, a deal is going to happen sooner than later and that it will be substantive. i'd hold on here before anybody gets too concerned. on the week if you just look at the trading patterns here, you can see the sector hurt the most on the worries about higher taxes, utilities has. the best week far and away. it's really bounced back now. other sectors are sort of on the mixed side. by and large, we're abou
representative boehner says we're almost nowhere on the talks. this is where it happened right here. have you noticed that we've gone essentially in where? this is a very, very small trading range that we are in. this is not statistically significant. senator mcconnell says the white house offer was almost comical? that's like insulting commentary back and forth to each other. senator mcconnell said there's nothing better going on privately. nothing going on privately? and the market didn't...
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Nov 30, 2012
11/12
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gary, boehner i think is going to talk later this afternoon too. >> the markets will move as we pointed out yesterday for whatever it is worth it will move on this. i have to tell you reflecting on today's show, obviously chris waddell blows me away. david kostin realistic. the guy has been right more than wrong and has good reasons for his thesis which is what is most important. i will tell you this. i'll be out next week but i am putting together my 2013 we all have to do it at cnbc.com, my 2013 outlook piece and what i chose to do was go and speak to the people that have been the most right, the best experts i've spoken to all year. i have to tell you most people in that kostin camp up
gary, boehner i think is going to talk later this afternoon too. >> the markets will move as we pointed out yesterday for whatever it is worth it will move on this. i have to tell you reflecting on today's show, obviously chris waddell blows me away. david kostin realistic. the guy has been right more than wrong and has good reasons for his thesis which is what is most important. i will tell you this. i'll be out next week but i am putting together my 2013 we all have to do it at...
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Dec 5, 2012
12/12
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. >> the republicans spoke just a minute ago, john boehner saying his fellow republicans do in fact, as we watch the president work the room ahead of his remarks, they do back his opposition to raising rates outright. this chatter that the coalition is fraying, how complicating is that? the question is whether it frays enough to caught a fundamental shift in strategy. i think at the end of the dahl the republicans will give on higher rates. the question is when? does 2 happen before december 31st? in which case republicans and conservatives would argue republicans are agreeing to a tax increase. does it happen after january 1st when rates will have already risen? and if they cut them to 37% top rate, then republicans could say, hey, we just cut taxes. that's really the question. the president has made an argument that it is not practical to get all the money he wants from merely closing loopholes and deductions. he's said different things in the past. he's acknowledged significant amounts of money can be raised through closing loopholes. can you get it done quickly? by the end of the
. >> the republicans spoke just a minute ago, john boehner saying his fellow republicans do in fact, as we watch the president work the room ahead of his remarks, they do back his opposition to raising rates outright. this chatter that the coalition is fraying, how complicating is that? the question is whether it frays enough to caught a fundamental shift in strategy. i think at the end of the dahl the republicans will give on higher rates. the question is when? does 2 happen before...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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and then with house republicans including speaker john boehner, eric cantor and paul ryan. geithner will lunch with mitch mcconnell and then house minority leader nancy pelosi. president obama is signaling he's flexible on on where tax rates should go for the wealthiest americans. a return to the clinton era tax rates would have households pay between 36% to 39%. the president met with a group of 14 ceos wednesday afternoon. they offered support for resolving the if i can crisis with a proposal for higher taxes for those who make more than a quarter million dollars a year. sdl bo >> both sides have acknowledged that there will be revenue concessions and sbilgtment cent concessio concessions. i'm not a master of the political art here, but i would say if you have these point of views in a business context as close as they are, i would say a deal would be in reach. >> ford chairman bill ford junior agrees with blankfein saying he's confident the obama administration can reach a deal with congress to avoid the fiscal cliff. but speaking with reporters in bangkok, he says the a
and then with house republicans including speaker john boehner, eric cantor and paul ryan. geithner will lunch with mitch mcconnell and then house minority leader nancy pelosi. president obama is signaling he's flexible on on where tax rates should go for the wealthiest americans. a return to the clinton era tax rates would have households pay between 36% to 39%. the president met with a group of 14 ceos wednesday afternoon. they offered support for resolving the if i can crisis with a proposal...
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Dec 3, 2012
12/12
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boehner said the deal is going nowhere. now, when i call the bulls on this, they say, bob, they didn't say a deal was off. they just said so far the negotiations are going nowhere. the market still believes that a deal is coming and it's going to be a substantive deal. instead and by the way, geithner insisted on tax rates issues. looks like there may be something happening eventually. we didn't fall apart on the whole thing. even futures weren't down overnight. instead we rally on a little bit overnight on the greek deal and for those that don't know and this is arcane depending on what kind of bonds you're talking about, the bonds that they are offering are priced well above what anybody was expecting. that's one of the reasons that greece is moving up and we're seeing moves up in europe overall. the greek ten-year yields dropped 9%. they're now about 14% yield. lowest since april of 2011. we saw 1% to 2% rises in europe right now. the main german market, the french stock market, they're at 52-week highs. germany is at a
boehner said the deal is going nowhere. now, when i call the bulls on this, they say, bob, they didn't say a deal was off. they just said so far the negotiations are going nowhere. the market still believes that a deal is coming and it's going to be a substantive deal. instead and by the way, geithner insisted on tax rates issues. looks like there may be something happening eventually. we didn't fall apart on the whole thing. even futures weren't down overnight. instead we rally on a little bit...